With the curtain that will happen in Cinemacon tomorrow, Gower Street Analytics has increased the 2025 global box office forecast for more than one dollar. From the original projection of $ 33 billion, as we mentioned in December last year, Gower Street is now 2025 at 34.1 billion dollars.
This estimate will lead to a 13 % increase on an annual basis of 2024 (+10 % in current exchange rates), and an increase of 0.5 % from 2023 (+3 % at today's rates). In total, the estimation of 2025 will be 13 % behind the average three years before the tutelage (2017-2019) at current exchange rates.
High projection 2025 depends on the activities of the first quarter in general, and more specifically, on the huge unexpected performance of the Chinese word Ne zha 2. This phenomenon, at the end of this week, crossed the 15 billion yuan brand in China ($ 2.1 billion using today's prices), while also raised an estimated $ 50 million+ outside the local market. As a result, GOWER raised China's 2025 expectations by $ 1 billion to $ 7.6 billion. This revised estimate will witness the completion of China by 30 % before 2024, and it will (give or take) a 1 % shift in 2023 (still 6 % behind the average 2017-2019 at today's rates).
With the exception of China, the projection of the international box office is witnessing a marginal increase between 200 million dollars to 17 billion dollars. GOWER notes that, given the recovery of exchange rates against the US dollar, this growth could have increased by about $ 500 million, but brutally from the expected results in the Q1 leads to a reduction in performance for a year of about $ 300 million. The new projection representative worth $ 17 billion a 10 % jump on 2024 (+5 % in current exchange rates); 1 % decrease against 2023 (+2 % at current rates); And 14 % behind the average 2017-2019 at the current rates.
Meanwhile, the local market estimate turned down a little from 9.7 billion dollars to $ 9.5 billion. Jawal was martyred that there are no hacking strikes so far in 2025 to reduce this. The result of North America is $ 9.5 billion in North America an increase of 8 % in 2024 and an increase of 5 % in 2023, but 17 % deficit against average 2017-2019.
Although the beginning of the year was so faded, there is still a lot that will happen in 2025, and these new expectations reach the eve of Cinemacon in the annual studio studios that start tomorrow in Las Vegas and continue until April 4.
